Today’s Best NFL American Football Picks

Accurate daily NFL bets are produced running thousands of game simulations using different models.

MATCHSTAT PRO

Every edge, every game, every day

New customer offer
One Sport
All Sports Promo
American football
$29.99/billed monthly
  • Unlimited daily predictions
  • Access all tipster picks
  • Filter & segment data
  • Unlock bet filters
  • CANCEl ANYTIME
Subscribe

Premium Model NFL Predictions With Edge

Edge:3.75%Probability:54.25%Market:Ravens -1.5
ODDS
-102
Edge:4.7%Probability:54.7%Market:Rams +6.0
ODDS
+100

All bets beyond this point are for Pro members

Access all bets below with up to 100% edge!
Edge: 5.3%
Probability: market:
Members only
ODDS
Edge: 7%
Probability: market:
Members only
ODDS

Premium Model NFL Best Player Props Bets

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams
Kyren Williams Under 74.5 Rushing Yards
Edge:3.12%Probability:56.39%Projection:73.91%
ODDS
-114
Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens
Lamar Jackson Over 221.5 Passing Yards
Edge:3.39%Probability:57.44%Projection:241.7%
ODDS
-118

All bets beyond this point are for Pro members

Access all bets below with up to 100% edge!
Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens
Josh Allen Under Passing Completions
Edge: 3.91%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams
Tutu Atwell Score a Touchdown
Edge: 4.07%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams
A.J. Brown Under Receptions
Edge: 4.2%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens
Rashod Bateman Over Receptions
Edge: 4.33%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams
Jalen Hurts Score a Touchdown
Edge: 4.82%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams
Puka Nacua Under Rushing Yards
Edge: 4.86%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens
Curtis Samuel Under Receiving Yards
Edge: 4.97%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens
Derrick Henry Score a Touchdown
Edge: 5.04%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams
Tyler Higbee Score a Touchdown
Edge: 5.46%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens
Dawson Knox Over Receptions
Edge: 5.47%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams
Kenneth Gainwell Score a Touchdown
Edge: 5.61%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams
Matthew Stafford Score a Touchdown
Edge: 5.7%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens
Dalton Kincaid Under Receiving Yards
Edge: 5.71%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens
Amari Cooper Under Receptions
Edge: 6.94%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens
Keon Coleman Over Receptions
Edge: 7.28%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens
James Cook Under Receiving Yards
Edge: 8.78%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams
Cooper Kupp Under Receptions
Edge: 9.43%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens
Khalil Shakir Under Receptions
Edge: 9.95%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders
Tim Patrick Over Receiving Yards
Edge: 11.6%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens
Mark Andrews Over Receptions
Edge: 13.31%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams
Saquon Barkley Over Rushing Attempts
Edge: 13.51%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens
Justice Hill Under Receptions
Edge: 14.7%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams
Demarcus Robinson Under Receiving Yards
Edge: 15.25%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS
Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens
Isaiah Likely Under Receiving Yards
Edge: 19.43%
Probability: Projection:
Members only
ODDS

Gold Model NFL Best Player Props Bets

Patrick Mahomes (QB) 0.5 Interceptions
Edge:33.8%Prediction:0.7%
ODDS
OVER -117 UNDER -109
C.J. Stroud (QB) 0.5 Interceptions
Edge:34.3%Prediction:0.7%
ODDS
OVER -158 UNDER 135

All bets beyond this point are for Pro members

Access all bets below with up to 100% edge!
Jared Goff (QB) Interceptions
Edge: 34.3%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Austin Ekeler (RB) Rushing Yds
Edge: 35.25%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Xavier Hutchinson (WR) Receiving Yds
Edge: 36.65%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Dallas Goedert (TE) Receiving Yds
Edge: 37.4%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Kenneth Gainwell (RB) Rushing Yds
Edge: 38.15%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Xavier Worthy (WR) Rushing Yds
Edge: 38.4%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Demarcus Robinson (WR) Receiving Yds
Edge: 39%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Dawson Knox (TE) Receiving Yds
Edge: 39.05%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Jalen Hurts (QB) Rushing Attempts
Edge: 39.5%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Tyler Higbee (TE) Receiving Yds
Edge: 39.8%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
James Cook (RB) Rushing Attempts
Edge: 40.45%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Amari Cooper (WR) Receiving Yds
Edge: 41.9%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Noah Gray (TE) Receiving Yds
Edge: 43.2%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Lamar Jackson (QB) Passing TDs
Edge: 46.45%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Curtis Samuel (WR) Receiving Yds
Edge: 46.85%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Tim Patrick (WR) Rushing + Receiving Yds
Edge: 47.15%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Cooper Kupp (WR) Rushing + Receiving Yds
Edge: 49.85%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Kareem Hunt (RB) Rushing + Receiving Yds
Edge: 51.1%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Mark Andrews (TE) Rushing Yds
Edge: 51.5%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Nelson Agholor (WR) Receiving Yds
Edge: 58.35%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Puka Nacua (WR) Rushing Yds
Edge: 60.95%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Justice Hill (RB) Rushing Yds
Edge: 62.7%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Samaje Perine (RB) Receiving Yds
Edge: 66.45%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Isiah Pacheco (RB) Receiving Yds
Edge: 70%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Saquon Barkley (RB) Receiving Yds
Edge: 72.55%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
David Montgomery (RB) Receiving Yds
Edge: 80.45%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Kalif Raymond (WR) Rushing + Receiving Yds
Edge: 94.4%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
JuJu Smith-Schuster (WR) Rushing + Receiving Yds
Edge: 106.25%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Matthew Stafford (QB) Rushing Yds
Edge: 132.75%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Jahan Dotson (WR) Receiving Yds
Edge: 141.8%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
Jameson Williams (WR) Rushing Yds
Edge: 157.25%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS
John Bates (TE) Receiving Yds
Edge: 171.65%
Prediction:
Members only
ODDS

Advanced Model NFL Game Money Line Picks

Match DateTeamPredicted MLCurrent MLEdgeGameHFAOpening MLML ticketML Cash
19 Jan 25 at 01:00 AM Detroit Lions -297.00 -520 -3 WAS @ DET 1 63% -490 68%
18 Jan 25 at 09:30 PM Kansas City Chiefs -236.00 -470 -3 HOU @ KC 1 90% -430 67%

All bets beyond this point are for Pro members

Access all bets below with up to 100% edge!
Match DateTeamPredicted MLCurrent MLEdgeGameHFAOpening MLML ticketML Cash
19 Jan 25 at 08:00 PM Los Angeles Rams -1 LA @ PHI 0 230
19 Jan 25 at 11:30 PM Buffalo Bills -1 BAL @ BUF 1 -110
19 Jan 25 at 11:30 PM Baltimore Ravens -1 BAL @ BUF 0 -110
19 Jan 25 at 08:00 PM Philadelphia Eagles -1 LA @ PHI 1 -270
19 Jan 25 at 01:00 AM Washington Commanders +3 WAS @ DET 0 390
18 Jan 25 at 09:30 PM Houston Texans +3 HOU @ KC 0 345

Advanced Model NFL Game Total Over / Under Picks

Match dateTeamPredicted OUPredicted sideCurrent OUEdgeGameHFAOpening OUPass %Sec / play teamSec / play gameScriptsPaceGame paceWindTempPlaysGame playsPass playsRun playsRun %
19 Jan 25 at 11:30 PM Baltimore Ravens 52 UNDER 51.5 -1 BAL @ BUF 0 51.5 48.3% 28.11 26.68 Neutral Very Slow Slow 5 18 65.1 128.0 31.3 33.5 51.7%
19 Jan 25 at 08:00 PM Los Angeles Rams 45 OVER 43.5 -1 LA @ PHI 0 44.5 57.9% 25.08 25.83 Pass Neutral Neutral 8 35 65.1 132.2 37.6 27.3 42.1%

All bets beyond this point are for Pro members

Access all bets below with up to 100% edge!
Match dateTeamPredicted OUPredicted sideCurrent OUEdgeGameHFAOpening OUPass %Sec / play teamSec / play gameScriptsPaceGame paceWindTempPlaysGame playsPass playsRun playsRun %
19 Jan 25 at 01:00 AM Detroit Lions